The Future Track · Module 10

The Future of AI

Near, medium, and long-term AI trajectories — with multiple intellectual perspectives, not false certainty.

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4 Sections

Near-Term Predictions: 2026–2028

Survey the AI developments we can be most confident about over the next two years — agentic AI proliferation, multimodal defaults, vertical-integration chip plays like Terafab, orbital AI data centers, physical AI, and the cost collapse of frontier intelligence.

10 min read

Medium-Term Trajectories: 2028–2035

Explore the more uncertain but grounded medium-term developments expected between 2028 and 2035 — scientific acceleration, personal AI with full life context, AI-designed AI, brain-computer interfaces, and the energy infrastructure AI demands.

10 min read

Long-Term Possibilities: 2035 and Beyond

A carefully framed exploration of long-term AI possibilities — AGI, superintelligence, the alignment problem, economic transformation, and AI-accelerated longevity — with appropriate uncertainty throughout.

11 min read

Key Intellectual Camps in AI

Map the major schools of thought shaping the AI debate — techno-optimists, effective accelerationists, AI safety researchers, AI ethics scholars, and AI skeptics — with their real arguments, blind spots, and how to engage with each.

11 min read

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